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Open AccessArticle
Stability Analysis of a Fractional-Order African Swine Fever Model with Saturation Incidence
by
Ruiqing Shi
Ruiqing Shi * and
Yihong Zhang
Yihong Zhang
School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan 030031, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Submission received: 6 May 2024
/
Revised: 25 June 2024
/
Accepted: 26 June 2024
/
Published: 29 June 2024
Simple Summary
African swine fever is an acute pig disease caused by a highly contagious virus, and so far no cure has been found. Killing live pigs in affected areas is still the most effective way to prevent the spread of the disease. However, this approach can have a devastating impact on a country’s pig industry. Thus, it is necessary to implement strict biosafety prevention and control before the disease begins to spread. In order to further understand the transmission characteristics of the disease and develop effective prevention and control measures, a fractional-order African Swine Fever model with saturation incidence is constructed in this paper. This model, as an effective method to describe the laws of the objective world, is suitable for analyzing the problem of the continued spread or regression of diseases in areas where there are African Swine Fever outbreaks in the real world. Both theoretical analysis and numerical simulations show that timely and effective disinfection measures on pig farms are important to prevent the spread of the disease.
Abstract
This article proposes and analyzes a fractional-order African Swine Fever model with saturation incidence. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of a positive solution is proven. Secondly, the basic reproduction number and the sufficient conditions for the existence of two equilibriums are obtained. Thirdly, the local and global stability of disease-free equilibrium is studied using the LaSalle invariance principle. Next, some numerical simulations are conducted based on the Adams-type predictor–corrector method to verify the theoretical results, and sensitivity analysis is performed on some parameters. Finally, discussions and conclusions are presented. The theoretical results show that the value of the fractional derivative will affect both the coordinates of the equilibriums and the speed at which the equilibriums move towards stabilization. When the value of becomes larger or smaller, the stability of the equilibriums will be changed, which shows the difference between the fractional-order systems and the classical integer-order system.
Share and Cite
MDPI and ACS Style
Shi, R.; Zhang, Y.
Stability Analysis of a Fractional-Order African Swine Fever Model with Saturation Incidence. Animals 2024, 14, 1929.
https://doi.org/10.3390/ani14131929
AMA Style
Shi R, Zhang Y.
Stability Analysis of a Fractional-Order African Swine Fever Model with Saturation Incidence. Animals. 2024; 14(13):1929.
https://doi.org/10.3390/ani14131929
Chicago/Turabian Style
Shi, Ruiqing, and Yihong Zhang.
2024. "Stability Analysis of a Fractional-Order African Swine Fever Model with Saturation Incidence" Animals 14, no. 13: 1929.
https://doi.org/10.3390/ani14131929
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